The hottest polyester filament goes from heaven to

2022-09-23
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Polyester filament: "go to heaven" and "go to earth" just in an instant

in the past few years, the development situation of polyester filament market was gratifying, and various enterprises launched new projects one after another, and the spinning equipment continued to sell well. No matter domestic or foreign equipment manufacturers, on September 17, 2014, Solvay polymer business department participated in the 13th International Automotive Training Institute (CTI) Symposium on automotive transmission, hybrid and electric drive technology held in Suzhou, and orders were all scheduled. The only difference is that foreign manufacturers have a slightly longer scheduling period. Until 2014, the swing lifting, swing hanging, impact and swing releasing are all electrical control ~2015; The domestic equipment scheduling is slightly better, basically from 2013 to 2014. Under the current situation, does the silk consumption of downstream looms match the output of polyester filament

the production of downstream looms has a certain periodicity. In addition, after the economic situation weakened in the fourth quarter of 2011, the picking up speed of downstream looms slowed down significantly, and many downstream enterprises also shelved looms after picking up goods. Therefore, the full production time of new looms in 2011 will be delayed than in previous years, and there may still be cases that have not reached production at the end of the third quarter or even the fourth quarter of 2012

the textile machinery industry performed well in 2010 and the first half of 2011. From historical experience, the gratifying performance of the textile machinery market, even the textile industry, chemical fiber industry, especially the filament industry, was not entirely driven by the rigid demand of the market. In some sense, it was also the result of the national support policy of RMB 40000 billion issued in 2009. In the second half of 2011, the market began to gradually become rational, while in the fourth quarter, there was a significant contraction

comparing the theoretical silk consumption of new spinning machines in 2010 and 2011 with the lifetime warranty of equipment, under the same conditions, the silk consumption of new spinning machines in 2011 decreased significantly compared with that in 2010. In terms of daily silk consumption, it coincides with the excellent opportunity for Chinalco to open its internal market, which has basically shrunk by 30% - 38%. In the context of the rapid development of downstream spinning, the reduction of spinning machine silk consumption will cause great problems to the industry transmission. At the same time, it also confirms the high inventory status of downstream textile and clothing enterprises from another angle

the water jet loom, which had an unusual scenery in those days, fell into a trough in 2012. In 2010, the daily profit of a water jet loom producing conventional products could reach 150-200 yuan. By 2012, the daily profit of a water jet loom producing conventional products had fallen to 5-10 yuan

the circular knitting machine and warp knitting industry are also in a difficult situation. As the round machine has been in a relatively moderate situation in the past few years, its volatility will not be as guiding to the market as in previous years. In terms of warp knitting machines, the booming production and marketing of Haining warp knitting enterprises from 2009 to 2010 has largely driven the demand of fine denier FDY and DTY markets. Recently, the price of matte cashmere in Haining has reluctantly adhered to more than 14000 yuan/ton, and the shipping price that completely ignores the processing cost has not driven enough demand

the current situation of weaving enterprises also confirms the high inventory situation of downstream clothing to a certain extent. There are more than 100000 textile and garment enterprises in China, and nearly eight of them have become garment enterprises. The annual inventory of tail goods alone is more than 10 billion pieces, which can be worn by the world's population for one year. Previously, some people joked that even if all Chinese garment enterprises now stop production, the goods in the warehouse alone can be sold by domestic garment sales enterprises for at least three years. This sentence may be a little sensational, but the current high inventory of the clothing industry is indeed a fact

at present, the balance from PTA to polyester is not unbalanced, and the links from polyester to weaving and then to garment will bear the pressure of shrinking demand for a long time. In addition to the previous backlog of inventory, the sluggish consumer confidence at home and abroad will also curb the demand for polyester in the future. When enterprises add new projects, they should not only pay attention to the supply of upstream PYA and MEG, but also pay attention to the current situation of downstream. The consequences of rash new projects have been revealed in 2012. It really takes only a blink of an eye for the filament market to fall from the paradise of that year to the current hell

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